Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 22.357393 25.740885 29.386075 33.595745 38.313469 43.427548 49.380541
2025-10-05 17.729163 22.710714 28.566803 35.910665 44.821338 55.227484 68.239535
2025-10-12 14.819484 20.645612 27.973833 37.755508 50.342358 65.855423 86.263545
2025-10-19 12.325303 18.468007 26.655647 38.173320 53.730839 73.762681 101.207668
2025-10-26 10.416320 16.664945 25.435008 38.352287 56.545827 80.859603 115.326866
2025-11-02 8.752444 14.898519 23.951797 37.863787 58.218589 86.345288 127.445344
2025-11-09 7.376620 13.324400 22.496362 37.160785 59.383868 91.043654 138.592356
2025-11-16 6.230496 11.921525 21.092796 36.318318 60.164674 95.112734 148.940557
2025-11-23 5.180655 10.505689 19.473189 34.923262 59.911418 97.547857 156.933380
2025-11-30 4.757783 10.119186 19.476899 36.087591 63.648754 106.065779 174.272686
2025-12-07 4.388034 9.770776 19.492257 37.242319 67.408197 114.774743 192.284198
2025-12-14 3.841347 8.997414 18.664257 36.862221 68.595394 119.499947 204.356635
2025-12-21 3.249785 8.073723 17.516439 35.922949 68.966276 123.257800 215.646108
2025-12-28 3.110570 8.084413 18.144458 38.274325 75.201459 136.957460 243.651192
2026-01-04 2.932257 7.979323 18.530764 40.204690 80.828195 149.963710 271.196882
2026-01-11 2.625854 7.526402 18.158390 40.642544 83.793831 158.648524 292.052282
2026-01-18 2.336776 7.058593 17.690056 40.830869 86.287332 166.625794 312.069807
2026-01-25 2.030411 6.485484 16.916632 40.315246 87.397789 172.221309 328.271525
2026-02-01 1.750317 5.920681 16.081245 39.573242 87.991445 176.893007 343.052558
2026-02-08 1.499931 5.380523 15.223880 38.683911 88.203475 180.847813 356.713316
2026-02-15 1.252682 4.789113 14.155865 37.210910 87.112166 182.316787 365.982676
2026-02-22 1.174719 4.693144 14.292082 38.440323 91.597544 194.350981 394.720905
2026-03-01 1.102211 4.599237 14.420644 39.659300 96.131398 206.677483 424.476042